Quarterback

Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans, $5,100

Ryan Tannehill is a gross name to utter at this point but his price is great and no defense skews more vulnerable to the pass than the Buccaneers:

• Percentage of yards allowed via passing - 81.7% - 1st
• Percentage of touchdowns allowed via passing - 70.6% - 9th

The Titan’s implied team total is 8th on the main slate at 24.5. Every quarterback with a higher implied team total costs at least $1,000 more except for one.

Finally, Tannehill is still a threat to get there on the ground as well. In his first start as a Titan, Tannehill carried the ball five times. The former receiver has hidden rushing upside in an already great matchup.

Running Back

Chris Carson, Seattle Seahawks, $7,000

Every part of the Seattle offense is going to be chalky. They have an implied team total of 30 against an Atlanta team that imploded versus the Rams last week. Playing Carson without any other Seahawks gives your lineup great leverage over the Russel Wilson and Tyler Lockett ownership.

In Week 3, Seattle took an early lead over Arizona and Carson carried the ball 22 times and racked up 145 total yards. Because Seattle sat on their lead, Carson got nearly as many touches as Wilson had pass attempts. Only Will Dissly returned value, catching the team’s lone passing touchdown. Every other play was a bust.

If this happens again Carson is a great play on his own and is also a fade of the team’s passing attack.

Darrell Henderson, LA Rams, $4,000

With Malcolm Brown out last week, Darrel Henderson was the Rams’ No. 2 back and with their efforts to preserve Todd Gurley, that is a significant role. Brown has not practiced all week and is unlikely to play again.

Henderson played on a third of the team’s snaps and got 12 touches to Gurley’s 19. The Rams are 13-point favorites and have done a good job covering the spread this season at 5-2 ATS. Cincinnati is a lowly 3-4 ATS.

If the Rams take an early lead, Henderson could step up while they give Gurley a break to rest his 50-year old knees. That would give Henderson a lot of work on one of the best offenses in fantasy at an extremely low price.

Wide Receiver

Corey Davis, Tennessee Titans, $4,400

Despite the presence of rookie A.J. Brown, Davis has held onto the No. 1 receiver role in Tennessee. Through seven weeks Davis has a 17% target share and a 24% target share. With Delanie Walker looking unlikely to play on Sunday, both of those marks would lead all active Titans and both could also grow without the team’s tight end. 

Walker leaves behind a team-high five targets inside the 20. Brown and Davis are both fine stacking options but for $300 more, take Davis and the extra volume.

Mike Williams, LA Chargers, $4,000

Mike Williams was a popular play last week coming off of back-to-back games of 10 or more targets and 70 yards. He disappointed again but still played on all but three of the team’s snaps and was targeted six times. 

The Chargers have been on a losing streak and that’s been nothing but good news for their receivers. Over their past three games (all losses), the Chargers have attempted 43.3 passes per game over that stretch. That mark is the highest in that time-frame and would be the most attempts per game on the entire season. They are 4-point dogs again this week.

Williams has the volume and his targets have more potential than most. He has a 14.9 average depth of target. Buy low on Williams this week as the Chargers continue to throw often while losing.

Tight End

Noah Fant, Denver Broncos, $2,900

The Broncos traded Emmanuel Sanders away and the favorites (based on ownership) to take on his volume are Courtland Sutton (15.6%) and DaeSean Hamilton (5.3%). Noah Fant projects to be owned by less than 1% of fantasy players.

Fant is top-10 i air yards among tight ends because of his 11.2 aDOT. That type of variance is rare for a tight end. Now he could see a few more snaps and targets with Sanders out of town.

The Broncos are 6-point dogs so you can bet they’ll be playing catch-up per usual. Fant is in a spot to go off and no one will be on him.

Defense

Oakland Raiders, $1,500

The blueprint at defense is simple:

1. Pay up in contrarian spots to get a unique roster construction
2. Pay all the way down, usually against the Texans

This week, it’s option 1. Deshaun Watson has been sacked 21 times this season, sixth-highest in the NFL. They are also in the top half of the league in terms of giveaways, of which they have 10. Use the savings and get up to extra studs at receiver this week.