Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans, $6,800
The Titans and Ryan Tannehill control their own destiny and just need a win to make the playoffs. They face the Texans this week and Bill O’Brien has stated that they intend to play their starters. The game features a 45.5-point total, fourth-highest on a slate with 15 games.
If this game is going to feature points, Tannehill will be scoring a lot. He has scored 24 times in nine games which accounts for 75% of all Titans scores. This game is rife with stacking opportunities and Tannehill is the easiest way to lock up most of the Titan’s points.
Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers, $6,200
Austin Ekeler is on the precipice of a historic season. He needs 50 receiving yards to hit 1,000, making him only the fourth back to ever hit the mark. A 99-yard receiving game would give him the most receiving yards by a running back all time. In a lost season, Ekeler’s records are all the Chargers have left.
This week sets up perfectly for Ekeler to get those records. The Chargers are 8-point dogs to the Chiefs this week. Roster Ekeler for one more week of him outscoring Melvin Gordon in the same backfield.
Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns, $7,500
The Browns are another team out of the playoffs with a running back chasing records. Nick Chubb is 90 yards ahead of Christian McCaffrey for the rushing yards crown. He would be the first Cleveland running back to lead the league in rushing in over 50 years. Chubb has already acknowledged that he wants to close out the season as the rushing leader.
Chubb’s rushing production has not been impacted by the presence of Kareem Hunt. The duo has played seven games together and Chubb has posted four 100-yard games.
This week, Chubb faces the Bengals as a 2.5-point favorite. He’s a good bet to get the 100-yard bonus again to guarantee himself the rushing crown.
Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos, $6,400
Courtland Sutton has been getting the volume of an elite wide receiver over the past few weeks but hasn’t been able to capitalize on it. He has 27 targets over his past three games but a 14-154-0 line in those contests.
This week he should have no problem turning that around against the worst secondary in the league. Oakland has allowed a higher yards per attempt (7.9) than any other defense and they’ve allowed more passing plays of 15+ yards (66) than any other defense as well.
Sutton had regression coming even if he was playing a quality opponent. Against Oakland, he’s going to have a field day.
A.J. Brown, Tennessee Titans, $7,000
Is there anyone else left to stack Ryan Tannehill with?
- Corey Davis (concussion) - questionable
- Adam Humphries (ankle) - questionable
- Kalif Raymond (concussion) - questionable
The Titans could be without their 2nd-4th wide receivers on Sunday and they signed two receivers to the active roster this week. They’re likely expecting to be without at least one of their receiving options in Week 17.
That leaves them with rookie A.J. Brown. Houston is 30th in passing yards allowed per game and Brown is on the cusp of 1,000 yards as a rookie. A strong performance from him on Sunday could lift the Titans into the playoffs and put his name in the conversation for Rookie of the Year.
Jonnu Smith, Tennessee Titans, $4,200
Tannehill has enough rushing equity to return even 4x value with just a lone receiver and his legs but he’s not Lamar Jackson or Josh Allen. The more likely scenario, if he smashes, is that A.J. Brown and an ancillary receiving option go off. Jonnu Smith may be the only other option the Titans have this week.
Smith has played 80% of the Titans’ offensive snaps over the past three weeks and 13 targets. With the Titans getting more banged up as the season comes to a close, Smith will get more involved in the offense and could be in line for a big day.
Pittsburgh Steelers, $3,000
RGIII is going to be a very popular play and is viable in cash this week. Gus Edwards and Justice Hill will also split some reasonably high ownership. That makes it the perfect time to fade the offense and double down with Pittsburgh’s defense.
Griffin hasn’t started a game in nearly two years and has a career sack rate of 9.2%. Pittsburgh leads the NFL in sacks and needs a win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Baltimore obviously has nothing the play for and it’s even possible the Trace McSorley gets reps under center.