Russel Wilson, Seattle Seahawks, $7,000
There are a lot of good quarterback options this week but based on our ownership projections, the field is going to be on them as well.
Russel Wilson is coming in below the top tier of passers in terms of popularity but at his price, he’s still a good value. This is largely because Seattle has the third-highest implied team total of the slate. Vegas has them scoring 27.25 points versus the Panthers this week.
Wilson is also a good pivot off of Chris Carson, who we have projected as the second-highest owned back of the slate. He’s shown off 40-point upside on multiple occasions this season and is a great leverage play off Carsona and the other popular passers.
Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns, $7,900
No player has consistently hit their rushing upside more than Nick Chubb this season. He is tied for a league-high six games with 100 yards. The presence of Kareem Hunt hasn’t had any effect on his rushing production either. He has hit the century mark in three of five games with Hunt in the lineup.
This week the Browns are favored by two points against the Cardinals. Arizona is third in the league in seconds per play at 25.46.
Chub will have to get there on the ground but there’s no better spot to do that than facing Arizona.
Patrick Laird, Miami Dolphins, $4,500
Patrick Laird is likely going to be chalky this week as he’s coming of 15/19 running back touches and 4/5 running back receptions on Miami. They used him as a three-down back but he’s still insanely cheap. That positions him well to be good chalk.
Laird receiving upside should be even higher this week as Miami’s receiving core turned into a graveyard last week:
- Allen Hurns (ankle/knee) - Did not practice
- DeVante Parker (concussion) - Limited practice
- Albert Wilson (concussion) - Limited practice
Laird played some receiver in college and totaled 96 catches for 610 yards in his final two college seasons. If Miami ends up without multiple wideouts on Sunday, Laird could get some run out wide or in the slot as well.
D.K. Metcalf, Seattle Seahawks
Tyler Lockett has clearly not been the same since suffering a bad thigh bruise a month ago. In his four games since, he has eight catches for 107 yards. Over that same span, Metcalf has 21 catches for 258 yards.
He owns a 26% air yards share and a 23% target share over in those games.
Metcalf should have no problem shredding James Bradberry and Donte Jackson, both of whom are outside PFF’s top-70 corners.
Kenny Golladay, Detroit Lions, $7,200
Chris Godwin is going to be the most popular player of the week because he’s crushed this year and now his biggest threat for targets is done for the year. Except all of those attributes are true of Golladay as well and he’ll be half as owned as Godwin.
With Marvin Jones on IR, there’s a 26% share of air yards and 19% target share up for grabs in Detroit. They’re also without Marvin Hall and T.J. Hockenson, who have also gone on IR in recent weeks.
Detroit gets Tampa this week and the Bucs have given up 48.6 DK points per game to opposing receiving units, seven more than the second-worst defense.
Jacob Hollister, Seattle Seahawks, $3,800
Jacob Hollister got his first start five weeks ago and scored three times in that game and the following one. He hasn’t scored since but he volume is still there. He’s been targeted 18 times over the past three times and has 100 yards.
For Wilson to win tournaments he’s going to have to throw multiple touchdowns and they aren’t likely to all be caught by Metcalf. Hollister is second in targets on Seattle over the past five weeks.
Houston Texans, $2,700
Houston isn’t in a good spot this week on the road as an underdog but they are the ultimate leverage play. Tennesee has a top-five owned player at quarterback, running back, and receiver.
Their quarterback, Ryan Tannehill, has been sacked at the third-highest in the NFL (10.6%). He’s also 12th in interception percentage.